Reassessing Sadat, Begin and Carter

Reassessing Sadat, Begin and Carter

It is now apparent that distances between the Carter administration and Israel did not begin in earnest after Begin’s May 1977 election or over the settlements. Newly available materials show that from its outset, the Carter administration prioritized curbing Israeli influence in Washington.

The American Intelligence Threat Assessment on Iran’s Nuclear Program

The American Intelligence Threat Assessment on Iran’s Nuclear Program

On Jan. 29, 2019, U.S. Director of National Intelligence Dan Coats told the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence: “We do not believe Iran is currently undertaking the key activities we judge necessary to produce a nuclear device.” However, experience helps us realize that the American intelligence community has a very problematic track record in revealing, on time, nuclear weaponization efforts of many countries (e.g., North Korea, India, Pakistan, Syria, and Iraq) including Iran itself, so one has to be very humble about this kind of assessment.

Issues and Analyses|March 11, 2019
Lessons from American Withdrawal from Afghanistan, Ken Stein

Lessons from American Withdrawal from Afghanistan, Ken Stein

In August 2021, the U.S. withdrew its military from Afghanistan, ending America’s longest war. Correctly, we needed to prevent another 9/11 on our doorsteps. We still have that imperative. Our departure does not diminish America’s need for stable allies, like Israel and Arab states. The US should build an effective alliance system among them. We should have a small, substantive and selective US footprint in the region for support of friends and deterrence of foes, not for nation-building.

As President, Herzog Offers Advancement of Israel-Diaspora Ties

As President, Herzog Offers Advancement of Israel-Diaspora Ties

Isaac “Bougie” Herzog’s election as Israel’s 11th president on June 2 was such “big” news that it was all but impossible to find on the home page of The Times of Israel a day later. That’s because reporting on a largely ceremonial position was overwhelmed by the end of a two-year wait for the monumental announcement of an eight-party government coalition, including Islamist Arabs and religious Zionist Jews, to unseat the longest-serving prime minister in Israel’s history.

Issues and Analyses|June 4, 2021
Israel-Far East Relations

Israel-Far East Relations

Until the 1990s, when Israel’s increased engagement with Asia notably expanded, her relations with China, India and Japan were limited for three broad reasons.

Issues and Analyses|February 18, 2021
Great Powers, the Middle East and the Cold Wars

Great Powers, the Middle East and the Cold Wars

The clash of great powers to control the Middle East, particularly between the U.S. and the U.S.S.R., neither began after World War II nor ended with the demise of the Soviet Union in 1991. Today, China, the U.S., Russia and Middle Eastern regional powers vie to influence everyday politics and resources.

Issues and Analyses|August 9, 2020
China’s Rise, U.S. Opposition and the Implications for Israel

China’s Rise, U.S. Opposition and the Implications for Israel

This article offers assessments of China in a clear-eyed and non-polemical fashion. It offers not an apology but an explanation for why China, having suffered a century of humiliation by external powers in the 19th century, is focused on re-establishing its role in the world – a role it believes its global economic weight entitles it to have. The Chinese response to the coronavirus is a vivid reminder of the fear that constrains honest discussion or reporting or intellectual development in that vast country.

Issues and Analyses|March 20, 2020
The Deal of the Century: Where Does it Lead?

The Deal of the Century: Where Does it Lead?

“The Deal of the Century,” formulated by the Trump administration, is presented as a new paradigm for a solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict that also shapes the architecture of a new Middle East. In order to keep the State of Israel Jewish, democratic, secure, and moral, it is necessary to adopt the components of the plan that both enhance security and at the same time can jumpstart the process of separation from the Palestinians, thus creating a better strategic reality for Israel.

Issues and Analyses|February 26, 2020
The U.S. Peace Plan: A Return to the Rabin Doctrine of Defensible Borders

The U.S. Peace Plan: A Return to the Rabin Doctrine of Defensible Borders

The U.S. peace plan offers a return to the security-first approach of former Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin and, specifically, the concept of defensible borders. On Jan. 29, 2020, Shimon Sheves, former Director-General of Prime Minister Rabin’s office, told Israel Army Radio, “The Trump plan is essentially the Rabin plan” and a “continuation of Rabin’s legacy.” Journalist Ben Caspit, writing in Maariv, called it “a modern incarnation of Rabin’s plan from 25 years ago.”

Issues and Analyses|February 5, 2020
Lebanon’s Political-Economic Crisis: Ramifications for Israel

Lebanon’s Political-Economic Crisis: Ramifications for Israel

The waves of protests in Lebanon in recent weeks and the country’s political instability stem primarily from fundamental problems in the local economy, including the absence of reforms and the rampant corruption among the ruling elite and all government institutions. These developments are highly problematic for the country’s decision makers, including Hezbollah. Israel, for its part, is monitoring the developments, which inter alia could lead to a strengthening of Hezbollah.

Issues and Analyses|January 24, 2020
A New Leadership at the European Union: A Chance for Better EU Ties with Israel?

A New Leadership at the European Union: A Chance for Better EU Ties with Israel?

In late November 2019, the European Parliament ratified the appointments of Charles Michel as President of the European Council and Ursula von der Leyen as President of the European Commission, as well as the appointments of the 27 commissioners under her responsibility over the next five years. The Commission is in effect Europe’s government, responsible for implementing the strategy of the European Union and for ongoing management of various issues assigned to it by its members. After a new government is formed in Israel, it would behoove the Foreign Ministry and the Israeli delegation in Brussels to prepare an agenda for a first meeting between the political leadership of the EU and Israel.

Issues and Analyses|December 19, 2019